The IFS And Council Tax

There’s an assumption buried in this idea:

More than 10m households would benefit from lower council tax bills if the government reformed the “arbitrary and unfair” annual property charge to reflect the growing divide between London and the south-east and the rest of England.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) said average bills across most of the Midlands and north would fall by more than 20%, with more modest falls across much of the south-west and parts of east England should ministers introduce a system more aligned with house price growth over the past 30 years.

Council tax bills would fall by 56% in Blackpool, 57% in Stoke-on-Trent and 60% in Kingston upon Hull, the tax and spending watchdog said, ending decades of punishing tax rates in many of Britain’s most deprived areas.

That assumption being:

The IFS said revaluation and reform of council tax could contribute to the government’s “levelling up” agenda. “But this depends crucially on central government funding for different councils being reallocated in line with the updated property valuations and council tax system.

“If this funding were not adjusted, each council would need to raise as much council tax as now if it wanted to maintain spending.”

To explain. Changing the rates system itself – or the valuations it is based upon – won’t make any damn difference at all if we remain with the overall system itself. For each local council is trying to squeeze a certain amount of money out of the local population to pay for local services. Which is, obviously, as it should be. Local taxes for local people.

So, if we change the ratings bands, the property valuations, then to gain the same cash end result, local councils will have to change the multiple of those valuations which is charged as tax. Bills only change in cash terms if we assume that the multiple (or, actually, fraction) stays static while the valuation changes.

The only way the cash bill changes on average over a local council area is if there is redistribution of the domestic rates across local authority boundaries. Which is something the Blair government ramped up and something that the Tories have dampened down. For the obvious reason that the poorer areas tend to vote Labour, the richer Tory. It’s easy enough to read who would support redistribution from richer to poorer given that.

As to what should happen about redistribution. We’ve already got a highly redistributive national tax system and a highly redistributive national benefits system. Which is enough. Local councils should be living off what they can raise locally in order to pay for local services. At which point the revaluation of rates across the country makes no difference at all to local – cash – rates bills. Which is as it should be.

Now watch people like Owen and Polly demanding this revaluation – without mentioning the redistribution inherent in their demands.

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Tim Worstall

View Comments

  • Even funnier. Read the IFS Mirrlees review and they admit reality, which is that taxation on housing gets capitalised into house prices. So even if the tax looks random house by house it is still entirely fair - as higher taxes were reflected in cheaper house prices (and v.v). We have had the same system for 30+ years and given turnover of the housing stock almost all homes were bought on the basis of the current system of taxation.

    Any change to the system which leaves total tax take alone just causes huge gains/losses (capitalisation is on roughly a 25x multiple) across the population - for no gain or purpose. Now that is unfair.

    For completeness even in Mirrlees the IFS recommend tidying up the system. Though they don't explain why given their own theory shows it is a bad idea. OCD on the author part is my guess. And as a footnote, many of the free market think tanks also don't understand how capitalisation makes seemingly random property taxes fair.

    • That's interesting, I'll have to look into that.
      I've been banging on for years that the Council Tax system is broken.
      If you're going to have a property tax, set it at a fraction of the property value, not in bands.
      Ok, if you're going to have bands, set them across the whole of the property value range.
      Sigh, ok, if you're not going to set them across the whole of the property value range, adjust them annually to follow the property values.
      Sheesh, OK! If you're not going to adjust them, set them individually in each tax-raising area, not have the same bands nationally across 300 different tax-raising areas.
      YOU WHAT?????

      • capitalisation means that intuition on this subject is a terrible guide to fairness/efficiency

        most think tanks get it wrong. and not in a different-views wrong, in a this-is-maths-and-you-haven't-thought-it-through-wrong

        the mirrlees is huge pdf but the relevant section on capitalisation is short

        • It is a property tax. You are taxed if you occupy property, not if you use local services. The Community Charge was an attempt at billing you for your nominal use of local services.

  • Somewhat off topic, but I got my new council tax bill this week, accompanied by a leaflet explaining how brilliant the council is.

    First they whined that the evil Tories had cut £68m from the funding over the last ten years. Then they boasted that they had stripped out £93m of wasteful spending over the last five years and negotiated a record £685m from property developers.

    Hmm.

  • In France there are two taxes, one on the property paid by the property owner, the second on the occupier - obviously if owner occupies, they pay both.

    Both taxes are based on the median rental value for the area, taking into account size of property and it’s amenities... higher if you have a garage or swimming pool for example.

    It seems fair because vacant property is still taxed, and where the property is rented the owner and occupier share the cost.

    It has worked very well for a lot of years which is why Idiot Macron is changing it to do away with the occupier tax. All part of his pledge to reduce taxes. But in France that always means a tax reduced here where you are encouraged to look, results in a tax increased over there where you are not watching. Local authorities will lose revenue. This Macron has promised will be made up from central funding, but has not explained how. So probably out of general taxation so Parisians and others will be paying for local services in rural areas.

  • We could redistribute the costs across local authorities rather than the tax receipts. The two biggest budget items paid out of Council Tax are adult social care and children's services. So redistribute the scrotes that won't or can't look after their parents, and the scrotes engaging with social workers, till we've roughly equal proportions in all LAs.
    Erm, maybe not.

Share
Published by
Tim Worstall

Recent Posts

The BBC and terrorism

The language we use matters - it provides clarity to our own thoughts and enables…

3 years ago

We Should Pay Medical Personnel For Each Procedure They Perform

It is now generally acknowledged that the structure of the NHS needs to be overhauled…

3 years ago

The Scrubbers Are Failing

In the film Apollo 13, a loss of oxygen causes the crew to start inadvertently…

4 years ago

Wondering whether an idea is actually correct or not

There's an idea out there which seems intuitive but then so many ideas do seem…

4 years ago

Is Cryptocurrency Our Revolution, Or Theirs?

When we think about the darkly opaque goals of modern central bankers as they relate…

4 years ago

Playing The Mischief With Us

As the papers recently filled with the distressing images of desperate souls looking to escape…

4 years ago