Apparently the young of today simply aren’t ever going to gain a home of their own.
[perfectpullquote align=”full” bordertop=”false” cite=”” link=”” color=”” class=”” size=””]Young Britons believe dream of owning home is over, survey says[/perfectpullquote]It’s not going to work out that way. Not in the slightest.
[perfectpullquote align=”full” bordertop=”false” cite=”” link=”” color=”” class=”” size=””]One of Britain’s biggest mortgage lenders has found that 70% of young people now believe that the homeownership dream is over for their generation.[/perfectpullquote]Just not how the world works. As Alex Tabarrok has been known to point out. Of the some 30 million dwellings in the country 100% of them are going to be, in a century, owned by someone who is young or even unborn as yet. That is, the ownership of the housing stock is going to rollover. That we can guarantee.
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Been saying this for a while now. There is no way possible (except some medical miracle) that the people owning houses in 30 years time swill be the same people who own houses now. But the for today's young, if it's not happening on Friday it's NEVER happening.
roll over not rollover. rollover is a noun. You need a verb there.
I suspect much housing in 30 years will either be owned by people who inherited the old homestead or else inherited sufficient amounts to purchase a house - basically, the children of current homeowners. It's going to be tougher on those who don't inherit well - at least if they choose to remain in the more expensive areas. Also, in California and some other US states by law a lot of new housing is being built as below market rate rental housing and is required to remain as such for 30 to 50 years, so a lot of that will forever be owned by landlords with annual subsidies from the government to support their maintenance.
In places like California it's a kind of Machiavellian means of keeping Mexicans out of leafy neighborhoods (other than to do the cleaning or gardening) while professing to be trying to both help them with cheap housing and save the environment by limiting new housing.
If nobody was buying the price would come down. So who is buying? Old people who didn't have a house? Those young people who actually make an effort? People coming out of the rental market because a permanent residence has become a better option? Immigrants with money?
Or is it all a plot by boomers to stuff millennials?
Not quite right though. As mot homeowners have mortgages, they cannot sell for less than a certain price, often a very sizeable percentage of the price they paid. So in a decent economy, where people are not losing their jobs, but house prices "should" be falling, they will tend not to actually fall. Instead we see low volumes and reduced mobility of workers.
Of the some 30 million dwellings in the country 100% of them are going to be, in a century, owned by someone who is young or even unborn as yet.
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