For a few months now I have written about how the EU’s plan is increasingly transparent, and it is becoming possible to anticipate their every move.
I believe we are now so close to the outcome they wargamed a year ago, that the final week is now almost completely predictable.
For what it’s worth, here we go.
I said back at the start of the year that the EU don’t care about the backstop – it’s a non-issue for them:
“Your MP is now under maximum pressure to Vote. For. Chequers.
But the final dramatic flourish is now imminent – they have made the alternatives sound as bad as they can, so it’s time to make Chequers sound a little sweeter.
The EU is about to go full dramatic chipmunk, and capitulate on the Irish border issue.
In reality, it was never a thing – it was a fake problem. A phantom. They never cared about the Irish border. It was only there so they could pretend to sacrifice something later.
To make us feel like we had won, and that refusing to sign their deal now would be wholly unreasonable. Because look how reasonable THEY have been.”
They don’t care about the Irish border, but they care about Britain remaining in the EU. They care about that A LOT.
And in this regard they are joined by all the Remainers within the British Establishment, who feel (for different reasons) that Britain’s departure from the EU should be avoided.
The EU are Remainers because they need the UK to pay for their federalist wet dream.
The British Establishment are Remainers because they are convinced that the UK needs the EU in order to stay relevant on the world stage.
So the EU have been able to rely on Theresa May, and Philip Hammond, and the CBI, and the BBC, and the civil service, and a raft of other establishment figures to pursue this goal on their behalf – these people are a fifth column, representing the wishes of the EU from within the UK.
Which of course is why the EU have always displayed such confidence – they have placed traitors in our ranks.
The EU’s plan has been to get this fifth column within the British establishment to present the EU’s preferred treaty (previously known as “Chequers”), and then invent a meaningless sticking point that could become the focus of all attention.
The EU have made sure that our media have harped on the backstop for a year – the Irish PM has been used to make the issue seem real.
And after a year of stressful wrangling, this thorn can now be removed from the paw of the British people, and they will be so pathetically grateful for its removal that they will not then tear apart their MPs.
In a way, the removal of this thorn (that the EU placed in our paw) simply provides political cover for this act of betrayal.
And this is a pretty standard negotiating tactic – offer a low price with an attached condition designed to irritate the seller. He’ll focus all his attention on the condition and will be delighted when you eventually remove it, forgetting what a terrible price he has accepted.
Like offering a feminist a slight reduction in the tax on tampons, as long as she performs for free at the local strip club at weekends.
So this coming week, the EU will water down or remove the backstop they never cared about, and the British people will be betrayed into vassalage by their Vichy Parliament.
That’s right – another “breakthrough” is imminent, although I suspect the EU will once again trot out the gap-toothed Belgian bumpkin Verhofstadt to pretend to find the whole affair insulting, so we remember to be properly grateful to his paymasters.
All other options now are just scare tactics – No Brexit, No Deal, long extensions, a general election, a loss of drinking water, or pet food, or medicine – these are all just the Bad Cop act designed to get us to gratefully turn to the Good Cop.
Namely the EU’s Withdrawal Agreement, which as I’ve pointed out is like the Withdrawal Technique in that despite the promises made, it usually involves no actual withdrawal.
We have been herded for nearly a year like scared children towards the EU’s treaty, which imprisons us forever in the EU – it is what they wanted all along, and they have used our government, our MPs (with a few dozen honourable souls still resisting as I write), our media, and the craven statists embedded in our institutions to convince us that the EU’s Withdrawal Agreement represents freedom.
In this coming week, all but a few dozen stalwarts will crumble, and then the only question is whether enough Labour europhiles will cross the House to pass this grotesque betrayal and inflict it on the British people.
At that stage, I wonder whether our cries of fury and anguish will fade into silence, or swell into carnage?