Cressida D**k, the Metropolitan Police Commissioner, wants to tell us that a no deal Brexit will put the general public at risk – all over 296 European Arrest Warrants a year apparently. For that is the number of such that we in the UK are issuing in a year, or at least did in this latest one. It’s also worth noting that arrests under such took place in some decidedly non-EU countries like South Africa. Thus neatly showing that the system of asking for an extradition isn’t dependent upon our membership – nor their – of the European Union.
The claim of danger to the public as a result of Brexit is tosh therefore. But then we knew that:
No-deal Brexit could put public at risk, Metropolitan Police Commissioner Cressida D**k warns
Gosh, so we’d better knuckle under to Brussels then, eh?
A no-deal Brexit could put the public’s safety at risk, Britain’s top police officer warned on Thursday. Cressida D**k, the Metropolitan Police Commissioner, warned the loss of access to European intelligence agencies’ databases and agreements on arrest and extradition threatened the police’s crime-fighting capability. In the event of a no deal which would be “very hard in the short term”, she said: “We will have to replace some of the things we currently use in terms of access to databases, the way in which we can quickly extradite and arrest people. “We will have to replace [them] as effectively as we can. That will be more costly undoubtedly, slower undoubtedly and potentially put the public at risk.
The important question here is obviously, well, OK, “how much”?
We can look up the stats for European Arrest Warrants. In 2017-18 – they’re using the financial year, April 5 to April 4 (?) – that’s 296 EAWs issued by the UK. Not been more than 350 in a year for the period covered. So, not a large problem then. There were some 700,000 arrests in the UK in that year. It’s a 0.04% of a problem thing. Trivial, of no matter then.
It’s also true that arrests have taken place in such decidedly non-EU places as Thailand, South Africa, Switzerland and the UAE. So it’s obviously possible to have an international arrest warrant without our having to pay for French farmers nor give up on bendy bananas.
So, we can have a system of catching the bad guys after Brexit and it’s a trivial, statistical rounding, sort of problem in the first place. Ms. D**k would seem to be talking nominative determinism.