From our Swindon Correspondent:
From The Guardian
Sweden’s chief epidemiologist and the architect of its light-touch approach to the coronavirus has acknowledged that the country has had too many deaths from Covid-19 and should have done more to curb the spread of the virus.…Sweden’s death rate per capita was the highest in the world over the seven days to 2 June, figures suggest. This week the government bowed to mounting opposition pressure and promised to set up a commission to look into its Covid-19 strategy.
Okey-doke, but what does the highest death rate per capita in the world look like? Well, per day, it’s 5.29/million vs 4.48/million in the UK, the nearest rival. So, over a week, it’s an extra 5.67 deaths per million. Over a year, that’s roughly 300 deaths/million.
We also know that only 12% of all deaths are under-65s, and for under 45’s, the death rate is around 1%/
How, would someone like the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) deal with this? They measure things like Quality adjusted life-years (or QALY). Not a bad idea. Treatments aer done based on how many years of good life someone is going to get for it. How many QALYs are we getting for all of this and at what cost to everyone? Granny, who can barely walk, is in a home getting to avoid Covid-19 so that she can die of a heart attack or natural causes in 3 months instead.
Meanwhile, the medicine is being given to all of us. Millions of years of QALYs are being lost to this across the 66 million people in the UK. Teenagers aren’t hooking up and getting to shag each in the backs of cars. Women don’t get to weep at La Boheme, and men at football matches. Students won’t have pissups. Businesses will go to the wall. And the young people will be left with a mountain of government debt they’ll have to service for years.
We should get to the same point as Sweden, let individuals take risks. If old people are scared, they can stay home. It’s not like they have jobs to go to anyway. When it’s 3 people per million for under 45s, it’s crazy to worry about it. We should reduce the speed of all roads to 20mph when you get to that sort of thinking.