Realist, not conformist analysis of the latest financial, business and political news

About That Election Silver Lining

From Esteban:

On November 3 the U.S. elections went far better for Republicans than expected – they gained seats in the House rather than losing them, they were going to hold their Senate majority and President Trump was proving the polls massively wrong with big leads as we all went to bed. Then overnight things got a bit dodgy and the President’s large leads in several swing states suspiciously slipped away. It appeared that unless his attorneys could prove widespread fraud he would lose (perhaps even then, given that many judges are hostile to him and others would likely be hesitant to change the outcome, however tainted).

Conservatives were told in these days that there was a silver lining. There was no blue wave, the country had turned away from Socialism, defunding the police and equating riots with “mostly peaceful protests”. President Trump had chipped into Democrats hold on black and Hispanic voters, broadened the base, etc.

I’d put away the confetti, myself. That “hold the Senate” part changed to “appear likely to hold the Senate” and now to a run-off election that’s a toss-up (or worse). And in the House, true, they gained seats, but the Democrats are still in the majority. And for the coup de grace, the President won the election in huge fashion but will lose as a result of massive fraud (I won’t bother to cite all the chicanery, there are plenty of places you can find that).

Yes, they say, but he broadened the base, expanded the party, gained unprecedented black and Latino support, put numerous blue states in play for the future, etc. The Democrats had to cheat brazenly and in massive numbers (openly breaking the law to block poll watchers, delivering ballots in the middle of the night, blocking windows where they were counting votes, unbelievable batches of ballots like 600,000 for Biden versus 3,000 for Trump, stopping the count in Democrat cities in swing states for suspicious reasons that just happened to give them a chance to figure out how many votes they needed, etc.).

To which many of us say, yes, and they’re going to get away with it. We’re supposed to be comforted by the fact that we should have won by a mile but will lose? Are we supposed to assume they can’t do this again? Especially when they probably won’t need nearly as much illicit help? The Republican Party and judiciary that let this happen will stop it in the future? Srsly?

And there are a few more things – much of that expanded base is deflated, hopeless, and won’t be easily roused again. It’s true that President Trump expanded the base, but don’t count on all those people to show up for Mitt Romney or John McCain. Trump’s unabashed patriotism, willingness to stand up to the media and courage were a big part of his appeal, even though they turned off some people. He was lightning in a bottle and when you put McCain in that bottle it isn’t going to wow people.

Yes, they say, “but look at how incredibly hard they had to cheat!” To which we say, “and they’re going to get away with it.” When we have a candidate who doesn’t blow their doors off and they only need to cheat a little we’re supposed to believe you’ll stop them? You, who were asleep while they cleaned out the house?

Yeah, I’m having a bit of a hard time seeing that silver lining.

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John Bull
John Bull
11 months ago

Cousin, you lost fairly. Don’t believe your own propaganda.

Esteban
Esteban
11 months ago
Reply to  John Bull

So in Philadelphia they blocked Republican poll watchers which was a violation of State law and a court order because they weren’t doing anything wrong? Ditto Detroit? Hey, I know guys, let’s break the law and do something that looks like we’re cheating even though we aren’t just for kicks! I wonder why I didn’t think of that explanation.

Thomas Knapp
11 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

“I wonder why I didn’t think of that explanation.”

Because they didn’t need to, because they had a better explanation: They didn’t block Republican poll watchers.

Esteban
Esteban
11 months ago
Reply to  Thomas Knapp

Sworn affidavits to the contrary suggest otherwise.

Thomas Knapp
11 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

I can swear an affidavit claiming to be Elizabeth II right now, but that won’t make it true.

Poll watchers of BOTH major parties were initially blocked from some early voting locations because they hadn’t been certified yet. Once they were, the poll watchers of BOTH major parties were allowed in.

Here’s the actual evidence presented to the courts by the plaintiffs vis a vis blocking of poll watchers on party-specific lines for nefarious purposes:

THIS SPACE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

Esteban
Esteban
11 months ago
Reply to  Thomas Knapp

There is also video of a poll watcher insisting that they have the right to be inside and being told “I don’t care”. And those affidavits are sworn under penalty of perjury, unlike your Queen fantasy. And we have video of the vote counters in Detroit putting cardboard over the windows so no one can see what they’re doing.

Spike
Spike
11 months ago
Reply to  Esteban

Seating watchers where they could not watch anything was ruled technically legal. Sending poll-watchers away between the time that (mostly Republican) in-person votes had been counted and (mostly Democrat) postal ballots arrived feeds the suspicion. The law allowing mailed ballots, when the state constitution specified exactly 4 reasons to vote absentee, has been upheld by an elected state supreme court, 7-0, on a technicality. USSupCt should not protect Pennsylvanians from themselves. Federalism.

asiaseen
asiaseen
11 months ago

don’t count on all those people to show up for Mitt Romney or John McCain

John McCain – isn’t he a Democrat voter now he’s with the worms?

Spike
Spike
11 months ago
Reply to  asiaseen

His cadaver remains a good example of the Republican Party’s allure if it should proclaim a “post-Trump era.”

Pat
Pat
11 months ago

OTOH look at the opposition.
Their only platform was some variation of “Orange Man bad”. My guess is that they can’t actually agree on anything else. So as soon as they do anything they will be pissing off part of their coalition.
The tech companies, the MSM, all those people creatively counting votes weren’t doing it out of conviction or love. They must have been promised something. That’s a lot of promises, many of which won’t be kept.

Spike
Spike
11 months ago
Reply to  Pat

Quite right. The Democrats’ only giveaways that the Republicans hadn’t agreed to (such as “pre-existing conditions”) invite total moral hazard. Advance toward the Green New Deal or even threaten fracking/mining and you’ll instantly lose the half dozen Congressmen you can’t afford to lose.

Prez’s party usually loses seats in the mid-terms. Biden will lose bad, as he does not know what anything is for and will break everything he touches. Covid “stimulus” will finally beget inflation. Democrat Congressmen will spend the next two years in terror.

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