From The Times, the map that should scare the bejabbers out of Remoaners and other assorted Federasts:
Take out the porridge wogs and the lavabreads and, well, it doesn’t look pretty for those in the traditional parties, does it? Yes, of course, it’s a fractured field. Part of that light blue everywhere is that there was no one remain option.
It’s also true that this won’t translate directly onto Westminster seats:
He said the Brexit Party would be heading “en masse” to Peterborough and would then begin interviewing and vetting candidates for all 650 seats for the next general election. “I think the real barrier, the real obstruction to all of this is a two-party system that may well have worked in decades gone by but is no longer fit for purpose,” he said. The newly re-elected MEP said the Tories were “bitterly divided” and he considered it “extremely unlikely that they will pick a leader who is able to take us out on the 31st October come what may”.
And yet if you’re on one of those traditional parties you should be scared shitless observing that map. For, yes, it’s a fractured race again. And how it’s going to turn out with three – perhaps four if we include the Lib Dems – major national parties vying is entirely unknown. There are vast numbers of seats where a 32% vote will win if it’s being fought by those four parties seriously.
No, I don’t predict a Brexit Party majority in a GE. But forecasting who would get one looks impossible to me. Which if you’re part of the established order should scare.